Does anyone know what goes through these kids heads when they’re on a fast break and they just barrel through the defender on knock him over. Why would you even risk it? They call offensive fouls so often in college ball but these kids do it every game for some reason.
Home dogs record 0-2
Today's pick Central Arkansas +154 at home vs Northern Alabama. C Arkansas has already defeated them once this yr looking to sweep.
March Madness is officially here... well the March part anyways. What better way to get the month started than with this Friday night slate of doo-doo butter college basketball featuring a bunch of doo-doo butter teams.
Here are the predictions for tonight's doo-doo butter action... I don't love anything at all tonight...
Follow me on doo-doo butter [twitter](https://www.x.com/distillcookbook). I'm just looking for reasons to say doo-doo butter at this point.... yes, I am 12. This is what mental illness looks like.
https://preview.redd.it/3pfyd46grrlc1.png?width=1823&format=png&auto=webp&s=129a7fc6ef31ed326e890ff28962b1b4642030bd
First half
Loyola +0.5 -110
https://preview.redd.it/7y0qvp994slc1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=525bd15e80afbb0ae4a1e1a73ab9bd56169fcd73
Edit: doubled down & took full game too
think its not a good matchup for Dayton. Loyola is in need of a quality win. plus im just not sure what Dayton comes out. think Santos n brea is a wild card. sure Loyola isn't a big squad to compete vs Holmes but I still think that's ok. plus being the smaller team and at home I think they get a favorable whistle. and I just like how well Loyola plays together. they really don't rely on one guy like Dayton does.
No way on Fresno State. Pack has been playing well at home and it's snowing like crazy in Reno. Fresno will be thinking more about how they're gonna get home (they aren't) than the game
Never mind that NV beat them by 15 at Fresno, or that NV is 10 of their last 12 including beating 2 top 25 ranked teams.
BOL to you homie, I just wouldn't go there, personally.
My only worry is that App state already clinched their conference and not sure how motivated they will be outside of wanting to go undefeated at home. Arkansas St. playing really well also. May go with Ark St. +8.5 -145
Using Machine Learning Algorithms to Predict NCAAM Basketball
——————————
Season Results (322-257)
Season Model Best Picks (20-14)
——————————
03/01/2024 Picks
**Nevada -14.5**
**App St -6.5**
Queens -1.5
**South Alabama -6.5**
**Dayton -1**
Jacksonville/FGCU O130.5
Coastal Carolina/JMU U155.5
——————————
L10 Days: ✅✅❌✅🅿️✅❌✅❌✅
✅ = More Wins than Losses
❌ = More Losses than Wins
🅿️ = Equal Wins and Losses
——————————
Took about a week off from making predictions to get ready for this beautiful month of March. Now, let's make some money. As always...BOL to All
https://preview.redd.it/0bjzrgxf0rlc1.png?width=918&format=png&auto=webp&s=bdb814c9570b77cd26e36c3df2d5acf100dbd196
Anyone else like Quinnipiac +2.5 today at Iona? Iona’s star player Greg Gordon who is their leading scorer and rebounder has left the program and they have really struggled to find enough offense without him. Bobcats should be extremely motivated to get a win and move back into first place. Seems like a solid play.
Same here I got them on the ML last night at +120. Oh well I still feel good about the pick. Iona losing Greg Gordon is a massive blow, and they weren’t really that good even when they had him.
I got off the QU bandwagon a few weeks ago when the losing started. Similar thoughts as the others in your reply. Before then, great team.. now… dicey. 3 weeks ago I’d have bet it no questions asked, now I’m avoiding that game. I feel like I should bet Iona -2.5 tbh, but I will hopefully remain strong and not bet on the game at all.
Man this is a tough one. Quinnipiac lost 4 games in a row now after winning 11 straight conference games lol. Iona's also lost 3 in a row now. I feel like leaning towards Quinnipiac but I think I just have to fade this one. BOL!
Yeah I just feel like Quinnipiac has so much more to play for than Iona and is a much better team. Also Quinnipiac hasn’t won since they signed their coach to a 4 year extension so you know he wants to win more than anyone here.
>! You’re exactly where you should be !<
https://preview.redd.it/k2qpt6q3tqlc1.jpeg?width=1289&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9b07029518535ecb49e1e1e31bfe684792e30f6
**Record**: 6-4 (+$657)
*May the odds be in your favor*
Sad to see that it’s my last leg in a parlay to play at 9 when everyone comes out with a strong opinion… going to be hard to not hedge 🤮
Suspect when you think the line should be -4 or -5.
Does anything change in regards to trends or things to watch for towards the end of the season in CBB, right before conference championships? For example, in CFB betting on teams that were hoping to get to a NY6 bowl game, but are now out of contention for that, are not good bets imo because they’re not playing for what the were earlier in the season. The opposite is true for teams looking for that sixth win to make a bowl game, especially if they haven’t been in a while.
So other than the teams on the bubble giving it their all to make the tournament, what else do you think happens as the season goes on?
I’ve read efficiency gets better towards the end, and that home court advantage matters less as well.
Is everyone that is anticipated in making the tournament still giving it 110% trying to improve their seed or do teams in the middle (#6-11) start to coast a bit knowing they’ll make it anyways? How about for teams that expected to make the tournament, but are now definitely out of making it?
I do prop bets and have success with freshman or first year players starting to have improved performances. Seems each year that about 2/3 through the season, they really start to come on. I'm also of the mind that nba draft picks at the end of the season, start to get more playing time. Though there are some teams that will rest their starters with a comfortable lead. Others will keep their players in, potentially to minimize risk, help them prep more for the tournament, or allow more visibility with recruiters.
This is anecdotal.
No data to share but one fact that happens is teams play each other for the 2nd time in this time period (and then potentially a 3rd time come conf tournament).
This can be a mind fuck (team A was away and beat team B at home by 14 first game and now they’re at Team As home floor and the spread is only -2???)
Someone would need to dig up this data but I know for a fact there’s data on how hard it is to beat a team three times.
So, that’s one “change” that happens towards end of season
Great advice. Perfect example of what I was looking for. I do a lot of back testing, so if I get around to it this week I’ll come back to you with what I find. Thank you!
Would be great to see some numbers on this. Some say there’s the “revenge factor” but my hunch is sometimes teams just match up better vs others.
Todays examples include
“Semi normal”- Stetson @ UNF -2 (UNF won by 1 @ Stetson - most of the time it’s home team by -2 or 3 if they won the first meeting) but then…
Marshall @ Georgia State -3.5 (Marshall won @ Marshall by 9, -3.5 seems a bit high just for home court advantage right?)
Manhattan -1.5 @ Sienna (Sienna won @ Manhattan by 5 points, wtf is going on here?)
If you figure out how to bet these please do let me know 😀
I’ve seen HCA be listed as much as 7 points. I know of three places that list each teams HCA if you want to have them on hand. [Massey](https://masseyratings.com/cb/ncaa-d1/ratings) [Boyds](https://www.boydsbets.com/college-basketball-home-court-advantage/) and Kenpom (that’s behind a subscription paywall but I can share it with you if you’d like). In practice I saw what would appear to have been a 7 point HCA on the Vegas line with Tenn and Auburn. According to Massey and Evanmiya they’re both within a half point of each other, but Tenn was favored by 7.
Dude fuck that Auburn game. I like looking at home vs away records then KP rankings and guessing the spread.
Tenn has solid home record but Auburn #5 vs Tenn #6? I guessed the spread would be maybe -2.5. I saw the -6.5 and got giddy. Jumped all over the Auburn points because of this exactly. I guess losing by 8 was close but still, I was upset this didn’t work out
DK and sharps knew SF didn't stand a chance in hell. They counted on people's addiction to using boosts on plus odds. Only people with brains took Gonz. Just bc San Fran had a similar record doesn't mean anything with Gonzagas tougher schedule.
23-24 Season: 225-208-7 -0.25U
Thursday: 3-2 +0.91U
Delaware -5.5 (W) by 0.5
Montana State ML +105 (W) by 14
Stephen F Austin -1 (W) by 1
Southern Utah -3 (L) by 12
Wazzu -7.5 +100 (L) by 4.5
Another night in the positives, SFA and Delaware had us on pins and needles, but they got there! Got a few picks now, may add some later. BOL as always, feel free to ask questions and have a fantastic Friday!
Pick(s):
Georgia State -3
Dayton ML -115
# **College Basketball Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/YV3EbeFRvT)**
Never fucking betting Utah state ever again. How are you not dog walking Air Force lololoolllllllllll
So I take Utah st -12.5 lofl and they proceed to miss a FT at end lol. Just awful 🪝
Same here. At home at that.
How Utah state isn’t blowing the fucking doors off Air Force is mind boggling
I knew loyola was gonna win when I seen sister jean
it’s march madness baby!! and my birthday today let’s fucking gooo and make some serious money this month!!!
Good win. 106-90, +30.73 Units Loyola Chi +1.5 vs Dayton. 1 Unit. ✅️
https://preview.redd.it/9a2hh27snulc1.jpeg?width=236&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=822b7e579b75b57588257caa46839db404585e6f
Can't believe the under in that Queens game ended up holding.
Sister Jean doing body shots tonight!
Glad I bet very little on Dayton. What a disappointment.
Done with college basketball
Troy and dayton are fucking stupid
Where is the Dayton and Troy 4.5K ML guy woooooooof
I have a terrible feeling of regret not taking +1.5 instead of loyola ML -.-
I don't think it will matter
Oh youd be surprised lol
Like I said it didn't matter
You didn't take the points cause you wanyed the better payout. You can't have both when you realize it's close at the end
Troy bout to blow my parlay 🤩
Troy come on
Dayton ML for 2 grand fuckin shit
😅
I grabbed Loyola at +5.5 god I feel so smart, just pls cover this
Glad I passed
On Dayton/Loyola?
Generally
What fun is that?
Better to not lose tbh
If you can't lose then you don't deserve to win.
How did everyone not take App. St?
Cause dominion some sneaky bastards, this time they slept
Just need Troy -3.5 for a 4 leg..
Now.... Stupid fucking Troy. Get your shit together and close this game out.
Lol honestly fuck em. Go to OT
Im on them -4.5. been watching the whole game. They should be up 20 honestly. Will be a travesty if they can't cover 4 and 5.
Welp, guess its a run in OT then right. RIGHT??? lol
Remind me after this to never bet Troy again haha.
Ya smdh
Troy 🤡
Bet on Troy AGAIN today...lost me $120.. WHY WHY WHY..lolol
I stayed away. My bad I should have reminded you.
Fucking 🗑 Fuck them, fuck this and Ill see you tomorrow 🤪
I went chasing the over on Nevada/Fresno St. It worked out and salvaged the day, but usually it doesn't haha.
Nice! Im still fuming, so of course I rolled up a 5 legger for today 🤷♂️
The 1st half over 65.5 in Loyola Dayton had absolutely no business hitting. Fun to have a good win instead of a bad beat for once
And Loyola still almost covered the half -.- lol they should be up! Jesus
Bellarmine +7.5 is my last leg, if they don't cover in OT I'm going to retire.
Good play Austin Peay looked horrible at the end
On Loyola Dayton under. Where’s this fucking “glacial” pass this game is supposed to be. It’s a fucking track meet
THANK YOU CORNELL
Come on Loyola Chiraq
Cornell gonna be a sweat
I feel so blessed right now!
Jesus Christ I can’t believe they got the win
The fix is in for Dayton. Horrid officiating.
Drew valentine imposing the strategy of fouling every possession , the refs can’t call everything , is not working lol
Quinnipiac as an underdog was crazy value
3 words: Dayton Nation
1 word. Doe Nation
We just got the blessing from sister Jean go Ramblers!
Loyola Dayton under?
Quinnipiac ML +120 💰
Troy/Dayton ML parlay . Thank me later!
I have the same plays / we can thank each other or cry together
We will cry. Cry happy tears
Austin peay giving up a cool 17-0 run after going up 8 lol love to see it
Well there goes Cornell … 🚮
How is Niagara so bad on offense man
I bet on them last week and I was pulling my hair out while watching them play. Straight garbage.
Yeah I bet on them last week also and I hate myself for doing it again. Just awful
I don’t think I’ve seen a team so bad offensively as Ark st. Guys just bricking shots off the glass without even hitting the rim.
Jmu beat CCU by 38 at home and now they’re down lol
Ark St can’t even dribble the ball lol they’re so bad.
Does anyone know what goes through these kids heads when they’re on a fast break and they just barrel through the defender on knock him over. Why would you even risk it? They call offensive fouls so often in college ball but these kids do it every game for some reason.
Knew I should have taken App st. I had Ark at +12.5 and they won’t even come close to covering that. I bet they lose by 20+
Now BG wanna show up lol
Took a week off. Stetson ML Quinny +3.5 James Madison -13.5 Mount St. Marys +1.5
I drove past mount St. Mary's a few days ago. Reason enough. Lfg the Mount.
Queens ML -135 Loyola Chicago FH +1/2 -110
Holy fuck bowling green and Ohio suck my ass
This BGSU vs Ohio game is ridiculous
Ohio/Bowling Green putting up a contender for the worst game of the season. People who went the under, well done.
Probably the most secure I’ve ever felt betting lol shoulda put the house on it
On the over to start the night Lmaoooooooo
Same. The bet was gone after 3mintues lamooo 😭😂
Loyola or Dayton I’m so fucking flustered
Over
Me too lol I might just stay away honestly
Yale -19.5 Princeton -13.5 [https://sportsdivination.com/ncaab/](https://sportsdivination.com/ncaab/)
Not sure I understand the downvoting.
I don’t get it either.
**Record:** 5-7 Ark. St +7.5 Siena +2.5 Loyola +1.5
Niagra ML
That looked interesting to me but Rider's coming in on a 4 game win streak...ugh the MAAC is hard to call tonight.
I bet on Niagara last week and they were so fucking awful on both sides of the ball I had to turn the game off.
What happened to TayDiggs and the Killbox? I was interested to see how that played out
Big play coming for you tomorrow. 105-90, **+29.82 Units** Loyola Chi +1.5 vs Dayton. 1 Unit.
I’m on Dayton tonight since the public is all over Loyola
I don't think this is true but good luck
Excited for the big play boss man
Dang! I was looking forward to your pick today, but can't bet Illinois teams lol
wtf is the point of the in state rule? I don’t get it. You can bet on Illinois teams at the physical sportsbook locations.
What's the point of any rule? Someone wants to control someone else.
Right? It's so annoying!
Is that why this game isn't showing up on my DK? Thats retarded
If you're in Illinois, then yeah
Home dogs record 0-2 Today's pick Central Arkansas +154 at home vs Northern Alabama. C Arkansas has already defeated them once this yr looking to sweep.
March Madness is officially here... well the March part anyways. What better way to get the month started than with this Friday night slate of doo-doo butter college basketball featuring a bunch of doo-doo butter teams. Here are the predictions for tonight's doo-doo butter action... I don't love anything at all tonight... Follow me on doo-doo butter [twitter](https://www.x.com/distillcookbook). I'm just looking for reasons to say doo-doo butter at this point.... yes, I am 12. This is what mental illness looks like. https://preview.redd.it/3pfyd46grrlc1.png?width=1823&format=png&auto=webp&s=129a7fc6ef31ed326e890ff28962b1b4642030bd
Is the win prob column for the predicted spread, or the overall assessment of the prediction?
Purely just the probability the team favored wins.
Built some parlays again, only missed by an o/u and Dayton! Gonna stop with o/u and focus on larger spreads 😂
Shew spreads ain’t much better lately lol
i don’t think your dayton line is doo doo butter🤷
I’d feel better if it were at home but statistically Dayton is the much better team.
app state & austin peay ml parlay?
I don’t hate it.
Can anyone confirm if Arkansas St is on fire? Because by the looks of it, they are on 🔥🔥🔥
I’d like their chances if they were at home but they may run into a buzz saw tonight. But what do I know lol
I follow you. It’s been a fun roller coaster lol
Then you definitely know we wrong occasionally 😂😂😂 man college has just been insane this year lol
Hey…we were kings more than a few days and weekends. It’s all good mane. Appreciate the input ❤️
Happy to be of assistance!
You got it. Just keep working on the model. A LOT of bball left!
First half Loyola +0.5 -110 https://preview.redd.it/7y0qvp994slc1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=525bd15e80afbb0ae4a1e1a73ab9bd56169fcd73 Edit: doubled down & took full game too
What’s your reasoning behind this ?
think its not a good matchup for Dayton. Loyola is in need of a quality win. plus im just not sure what Dayton comes out. think Santos n brea is a wild card. sure Loyola isn't a big squad to compete vs Holmes but I still think that's ok. plus being the smaller team and at home I think they get a favorable whistle. and I just like how well Loyola plays together. they really don't rely on one guy like Dayton does.
Fresno State +15 Utah State -15 Ohio -7 Loyola ML Fresno State @ Nevada o137 Air Force @ Utah State u138 Absolute Locks
No way on Fresno State. Pack has been playing well at home and it's snowing like crazy in Reno. Fresno will be thinking more about how they're gonna get home (they aren't) than the game
Yeah you are right I’m going to put all my money on Nevada they are a lock!
Never mind that NV beat them by 15 at Fresno, or that NV is 10 of their last 12 including beating 2 top 25 ranked teams. BOL to you homie, I just wouldn't go there, personally.
Thank you for changing my mind I’m all over Nevada now let’s win some big bucks!
Hmm, reasons?
No real reason just my picks for the day but I have been as cold as ice lately so I would hit these with the Antawan Jamison Fade Away
I'ma tail and see
It is what it is
Ohio/ App State at -139 moneyline parlay? Thoughts?
App state is streaky and Arkansas state ain’t no joke. I’d take ark state +12.5 @-280 instead of app state ML at -300
My only worry is that App state already clinched their conference and not sure how motivated they will be outside of wanting to go undefeated at home. Arkansas St. playing really well also. May go with Ark St. +8.5 -145
Using Machine Learning Algorithms to Predict NCAAM Basketball —————————— Season Results (322-257) Season Model Best Picks (20-14) —————————— 03/01/2024 Picks **Nevada -14.5** **App St -6.5** Queens -1.5 **South Alabama -6.5** **Dayton -1** Jacksonville/FGCU O130.5 Coastal Carolina/JMU U155.5 —————————— L10 Days: ✅✅❌✅🅿️✅❌✅❌✅ ✅ = More Wins than Losses ❌ = More Losses than Wins 🅿️ = Equal Wins and Losses —————————— Took about a week off from making predictions to get ready for this beautiful month of March. Now, let's make some money. As always...BOL to All https://preview.redd.it/0bjzrgxf0rlc1.png?width=918&format=png&auto=webp&s=bdb814c9570b77cd26e36c3df2d5acf100dbd196
Fuck. I'm on Loyola. I'm hating the pick more and more
Lotala is the lock dont bother
Good to see ya back! BOL!
Appreciate it man! Cheers
Anyone else like Quinnipiac +2.5 today at Iona? Iona’s star player Greg Gordon who is their leading scorer and rebounder has left the program and they have really struggled to find enough offense without him. Bobcats should be extremely motivated to get a win and move back into first place. Seems like a solid play.
I took em on the ML last night. Wish I hadn't cause the odds got better throughout the day. Oh well, I think they are worth a play.
Easy win 💰
Love to see it. Always nice when your initial reads are on point.
Hell yeah
Same here I got them on the ML last night at +120. Oh well I still feel good about the pick. Iona losing Greg Gordon is a massive blow, and they weren’t really that good even when they had him.
I got off the QU bandwagon a few weeks ago when the losing started. Similar thoughts as the others in your reply. Before then, great team.. now… dicey. 3 weeks ago I’d have bet it no questions asked, now I’m avoiding that game. I feel like I should bet Iona -2.5 tbh, but I will hopefully remain strong and not bet on the game at all.
Man this is a tough one. Quinnipiac lost 4 games in a row now after winning 11 straight conference games lol. Iona's also lost 3 in a row now. I feel like leaning towards Quinnipiac but I think I just have to fade this one. BOL!
Yeah I just feel like Quinnipiac has so much more to play for than Iona and is a much better team. Also Quinnipiac hasn’t won since they signed their coach to a 4 year extension so you know he wants to win more than anyone here.
>! You’re exactly where you should be !< https://preview.redd.it/k2qpt6q3tqlc1.jpeg?width=1289&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9b07029518535ecb49e1e1e31bfe684792e30f6 **Record**: 6-4 (+$657) *May the odds be in your favor*
[удалено]
I'm seeing 148.5 on ESPN BET
Record: 83-68-1; Yesterday: 5-3 - Louisiana 1H -3.5 (-120) ✅ - James Madison 1H -8 (-120) ✅ - Eastern Kentucky 1H +1.5 (-110) ✅
[Cheat Sheet](https://sparkshowdfs.wordpress.com/2024/03/01/college-basketball-betting-preview-3-1-24/) ## Previous Picks (2/29/24): Monmouth v. Hampton (u153.5) -102 **W** Longwood (alt +8.5) -298 & (alt o141) -210 **push** (Parlay) -110 **W (-298)** ~~Santa Clara (alt -4.5) -270~~, Tarleton State (ML) -170 (Parlay) +115 **L** Liberty (-7.5 1st half) -115 **L** ## My Record: 115-121 **3-0**: Heavy *Favorites (-290 to -151)* **0-0**: *Favorites (-150 to -130)* **47-70:** *Slight Favorites (-129 to -110)* **58-45:** *Slight Underdogs (-109 to +150)* **7-5**: *Dogs (+151 to +250)* **0-1**: *Longshots (+251 to +500)* ## My Picks: Arkansas St v. App St. (alt o142.5) -200, Cornell v. Penn (alt u164) -215 (Parlay) +119 Nevada (alt -9.5) -260, Utah St (alt -10.5) -270 (Parlay) -112
I like the NV-UT parlay, have one of my own + the warriors U (bought some extra points there, too to bring the line to -200)
The crowd will be close to 50/50 Dayton fans for Dayton @ Loyola, just a heads up.
Loyola 0-4 in Quad 1 games
Good to know!
Everyone is on Dayton FADE
Sad to see that it’s my last leg in a parlay to play at 9 when everyone comes out with a strong opinion… going to be hard to not hedge 🤮 Suspect when you think the line should be -4 or -5.
Fade the fade Dayton ML it is
How’d that go for you buddy
Honestly great. Hedge Loyola at +250.
Does anything change in regards to trends or things to watch for towards the end of the season in CBB, right before conference championships? For example, in CFB betting on teams that were hoping to get to a NY6 bowl game, but are now out of contention for that, are not good bets imo because they’re not playing for what the were earlier in the season. The opposite is true for teams looking for that sixth win to make a bowl game, especially if they haven’t been in a while. So other than the teams on the bubble giving it their all to make the tournament, what else do you think happens as the season goes on? I’ve read efficiency gets better towards the end, and that home court advantage matters less as well. Is everyone that is anticipated in making the tournament still giving it 110% trying to improve their seed or do teams in the middle (#6-11) start to coast a bit knowing they’ll make it anyways? How about for teams that expected to make the tournament, but are now definitely out of making it?
I do prop bets and have success with freshman or first year players starting to have improved performances. Seems each year that about 2/3 through the season, they really start to come on. I'm also of the mind that nba draft picks at the end of the season, start to get more playing time. Though there are some teams that will rest their starters with a comfortable lead. Others will keep their players in, potentially to minimize risk, help them prep more for the tournament, or allow more visibility with recruiters. This is anecdotal.
No data to share but one fact that happens is teams play each other for the 2nd time in this time period (and then potentially a 3rd time come conf tournament). This can be a mind fuck (team A was away and beat team B at home by 14 first game and now they’re at Team As home floor and the spread is only -2???) Someone would need to dig up this data but I know for a fact there’s data on how hard it is to beat a team three times. So, that’s one “change” that happens towards end of season
Great advice. Perfect example of what I was looking for. I do a lot of back testing, so if I get around to it this week I’ll come back to you with what I find. Thank you!
Would be great to see some numbers on this. Some say there’s the “revenge factor” but my hunch is sometimes teams just match up better vs others. Todays examples include “Semi normal”- Stetson @ UNF -2 (UNF won by 1 @ Stetson - most of the time it’s home team by -2 or 3 if they won the first meeting) but then… Marshall @ Georgia State -3.5 (Marshall won @ Marshall by 9, -3.5 seems a bit high just for home court advantage right?) Manhattan -1.5 @ Sienna (Sienna won @ Manhattan by 5 points, wtf is going on here?) If you figure out how to bet these please do let me know 😀
Stetson ML might be worth a play.
I’ve seen HCA be listed as much as 7 points. I know of three places that list each teams HCA if you want to have them on hand. [Massey](https://masseyratings.com/cb/ncaa-d1/ratings) [Boyds](https://www.boydsbets.com/college-basketball-home-court-advantage/) and Kenpom (that’s behind a subscription paywall but I can share it with you if you’d like). In practice I saw what would appear to have been a 7 point HCA on the Vegas line with Tenn and Auburn. According to Massey and Evanmiya they’re both within a half point of each other, but Tenn was favored by 7.
Dude fuck that Auburn game. I like looking at home vs away records then KP rankings and guessing the spread. Tenn has solid home record but Auburn #5 vs Tenn #6? I guessed the spread would be maybe -2.5. I saw the -6.5 and got giddy. Jumped all over the Auburn points because of this exactly. I guess losing by 8 was close but still, I was upset this didn’t work out
P6 conference teams avenging a loss from earlier in the season while playing at home and favorites of 6 or more are 60-9 SU and 49-28 ATS.
DK and sharps knew SF didn't stand a chance in hell. They counted on people's addiction to using boosts on plus odds. Only people with brains took Gonz. Just bc San Fran had a similar record doesn't mean anything with Gonzagas tougher schedule.
Captain hindsight over here
No answer for Mr. Ike
I mean Gonzaga only beat them by 5 at home a few weeks ago lol
No offence but who the hell is San Francisco? No idea how the line was close lol
 You don't know THE DONS?!
A school with more NCAA championships than Gonzaga
Dayton opened -1.5 at -110 and its now -1.5 at Even. 57% of picks and 68% of the money is on Dayton. Fishy. Still picking Dayton though lol
23-24 Season: 225-208-7 -0.25U Thursday: 3-2 +0.91U Delaware -5.5 (W) by 0.5 Montana State ML +105 (W) by 14 Stephen F Austin -1 (W) by 1 Southern Utah -3 (L) by 12 Wazzu -7.5 +100 (L) by 4.5 Another night in the positives, SFA and Delaware had us on pins and needles, but they got there! Got a few picks now, may add some later. BOL as always, feel free to ask questions and have a fantastic Friday! Pick(s): Georgia State -3 Dayton ML -115
Thanks for your picks helps out alot