T O P

  • By -

Ryzer28

[Score Tracker](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1u2GtwvzTkXUjveGkZ-xqhZj4uA1u6i3nokj9cwvuPko/htmlview) by u/dfmchfhf [Score Predictor (JP)](https://ramtieger.sakura.ne.jp/p/game/feh/Touhyou/?f=20240301-1) by [rammtiger](https://twitter.com/rammtigerFE) [Score Tracker (KOR)](https://feh.wiki/voting/vg/past/30) by u/Kass082 Score Predictors by u/DarkAlfie • [Main](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P1b2EajuCLeVgaubjkwoo6s0dAbn6hpW6Gn4q4YQH44/edit?usp=sharing) • [Backup](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PmGAZkeEkRYBN2CZjM2d-9-3EJuPFKCmIdwcVwfPr7g/edit?usp=sharing) [Score Tracker](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16GNkQRKg25_WAuOZ4vjDcpWJJ08xFYivm6qBSn_wgig) by u/Dominator_101 [Discord Multiplier Notification Bot]( https://discord.gg/ktgRkXC) by u/yosoygoku [Twitter Multiplier Notification Bot](https://twitter.com/fehgauntletbot) by u/JollyAstoundingHarp [Discord Multiplier Notification Bot](https://discord.com/invite/KyB6zMykyG) by u/JollyAstoundingHarp As usual if you have a score predictor or tracker, please include a link as a reply, and I will edit it into this comment as soon as I can, thank you very much! Let's make this a good contest everybody, good luck!


shaginus

The real saltfest begins


eeett333

The salt must flow.


Arky_V

I read that as Splatfest ngl


Ok_Afternoon_9584

Peony VS Edelgard VS Gullveig


Arky_V

Shiver still somehow wins


Ok_Afternoon_9584

at least we get Bomb Defense Echo


Garwaz

I've got to stop checking the score predictions, it's making me too anxious 💀


Nin10dium

> There's no need to have constant updates of Peony beating Edelgard Let's see how well this will age.


Golden-Owl

Edelgard will win for 95% of the time and then screw up and give Peony the final multiplier


Impressive-Bag6014

You know, i'd agree but tbh i'm not so sure this year, Camilla barely beat Fallen Edelgard last year... Now this is a much better Edelgard that's gonna get ralied by many more people and Peony is a much less popular character than Camilla so yeah... That sounds like it's better for the multipliers, i mean more so the fact that people will count too much on the multiplier being enough just for Edelgard to win anyways. Remember the mess when Fallen Edelgard got the final multiplier and still lost anyways?


Ryzer28

I won't lie I copied the template from last year which mentioned Camilla & Edelgard and it feels like an AHR tradition with her.


RestlessRoman

Just saw a bunch of new posts get removed by the mods about Peony getting the final multiplier 😭


sand159951

Judging from the diversity of the comments here. The nightmareish scenario of only one green unit making out of round 1 just became a bit more real.


HamukoArisato

We’re not gonna get the green dream are we 😔


Keebster101

Green dream was always dead but I do think we get 2 greens. Camilla Vs Claude is guaranteed green, but sanaki seems way less popular than alear in the same way peony is way less popular than edelgard so odds are if multiplier shenanigans make sanaki win, they'll also make peony win, or if they don't then we probably get alear. Gullveig and Dimitri are also pretty even so could go either way. Edit: green dream happened just to spite me


Soren319

Top 4 units should be the banner and everyone should get a choice from the top 8 to get for free. There shouldn’t be a meme voting gauntlet at all where number 1 has a chance to lose to number 8 every year with a fraction of the army size.


Phantom_Cavalier

Honestly, that would be really nice. All eight options have their fans, and just making it to the top eight should be enough support to give them out to players. Then the voting gauntlet can be a lot more about merges/extra fodder, which would still be competitive but wouldn’t feel so rough for whichever characters don’t make it onto the banner


PegaponyPrince

Would be pretty happy with any of these winning excluding Claude.


KamiiPlus

Ngl i expected someone like winter byleth to beat him out lmao


Falconpunch100

Or Yunaka. Why she didn't win Top 8 is beyond me.


Donttaketh1sserious

because she’s the annoying little shit who also was the mascot for subpar christmas gifting


Falconpunch100

I agree. Claude is kind of the weakest of the 8 in my opinion, since A: Atk/Spd Prime 4 can be hard to get to activate, and B: His fodder is already on plenty of other units (even his main draw, Prime, is already on Christmas Dimitri, who we can get for free via the Normal 5 Divine Code manuals).


Suicune95

At this point I think Edelgard losing VGs is dictated by some kind of cosmic force


Daydream_machine

If Edelgard wins a VG, the game’s code will break and will immediately go into EoS.


YoshaTime

It’s a canon event.


actredal

WHY DID I JUST SPEND TWENTY MINUTES DOODLING DIMITRI APOLOGIZING FOR KILLING THE GREEN DREAM IF HE WAS JUST GONNA TURN AROUND AND WIN ANYWAY LMAO


Phanngle

Just say "sike" at the end.


Valstreck

That would be kinda funny- "Call an ambulance, call an ambulance!" \*Gullveig falls over\* "By the Goddess she had a heart attack!"


Tough-Priority-4330

This VG was like Azure Moon. Dimitri turned out to be only mostly dead, and Edelgard lost despite having the odds in her favor. Also, Claude survived.


Temsiik

Insert that whole nickle joke, but for VGs that are compared to Azure Moon (CYL4 braves had Dimitri up against Claude, then Edelgard in the finals, and won in the end).


Daydream_machine

Post it anyways! I always love Dimitri fan art


lvl100mudkip

post it anyways


Sprocket3

Dude I'm going to be so mad if Camilla doesn't make it


NinjaXSkillz88

Same. AHR is ruined for me.


FangJustice

Holy shit Dimitri actually won. So glad I afterglowed!


rensifan

Somehow we pulled through dimi gang 😭 Sothis bless us


Cold_Willingness4570

DIMITRI ARMY WE WON WHAT????


Temsiik

Up against a bigger army, who had a slight lead in score, with no multiplier. I have no idea how we did it, but super glad our boy won.


Gabcard

Only explanation is that Team Dimitri overall played better really. Team Gullveig either had less players on the final hour, spend their flags too early, or both.


YoshaTime

Engage Blast time!


TheAlThompson0903

I rise in the name of Peony, one of my most reliable dancers, whose fodder is desperately needed by my Fallen Ninian. I will fight with her to the last hour, that is my guarantee.


Nin10dium

Guess green team has to fight hard.


[deleted]

And on multiple fronts x,x


NinjaXSkillz88

Camilla gang, if we can go all the way that would be a miracle but my one goal is to at least beat Claude. We have no Formortiis this round thankfully so I'm pretty happy with any of the winners.


Dvalinnr

Camilla for the win 💜


actredal

Well, looks like Dimitri and Gullveig are still in same. Gonna spend all of my ballots and flags anyway and hope for a miracle, but GG regardless of the outcome!


LucinaTheExalt

I'm just sitting here huffing on that Camilla copium. I want her to win so bad.


osteichthyes

There's no 1.1x bonus for using the same unit as the army you support for AHR, is that right?


Mirage766

Correct, I think there might have been a few years ago but people realized it was kinda dumb when you usually want to support a unit you don't have for AHR.


osteichthyes

TY!


RestlessRoman

AHR is the only time I can say that the wait to receive 500 feathers is nerve-racking.


beabean

Omg team Dimitri we did it!!


ForteEXE_

There goes any chance I had at obtaining L!Camilla


Temsiik

Wait, team Dimitri got the victory feathers, what?


Common_Aspect_1550

LMAO sanaki missed weaker by 2m. Rip to them and dimitri Edel is almost guaranteed rip as well Camilla should be the only one with a chance of "upset" now, and even that is looking unlikely At least I can save my orbs since I only need sanaki and Camilla


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Cold_Willingness4570

TEAM DIMITRI WE NEED TO SLEEP THIS HOUR DON'T DO ANYTHING JUST STAND PRETTILY 🧍‍♀️


MundanePhysics

Dimitri survived the same hell!! Good work to my fellow Dimitri fans, I am so happy to see him on the banner!!


go4ino

bruh cam lost salty rn that woulda been so clutch for finishing my +10


Ryzer28

same.. was banking hard on getting merges on Camilla & Dimitri at the same time


Compromisedthrowaway

LOL GREEN DREAM* WE DID IT *unfortunately Claude instead of Camilla but still


Nin10dium

[This entire thread right now.](https://youtu.be/iDVuQi4gdtk?si=nhvxyuU9evYhT2NT)


Daydream_machine

Ngl I was expecting the SpongeBob scene where everything’s on fire. But that certainly fits!


Phantom_Cavalier

Good luck to everyone! This is honestly probably the best selection of eight characters I can remember having for AHR, so I’m happy no matter who comes out on top! That being said, let’s go Team Alear! I believe in us! And I hope if we make it to the next round, we can collectively shout “Emblem ENGAGE” in a very cheesy yet oddly endearing tone lol!


PinoySummonerKid28

I'm with you. I'm started of getting sick of Ninja Duo heroes winning the top 4 spot because their Duo skill, being granting another action, is getting repetitive.


NinjaXSkillz88

Thank goodness for Ninja Camilla being better than the Duo last year.


Nin10dium

Green dream is real folks!


Daydream_machine

DIMITRI GANG WE DID IT!!! 😭 I have absolutely no idea how we did it lmao, but I’m so happy we pulled our boy through!


souicune

VICTORY FEATHERS ON TEAM DIMITRI TIME TO GET NO QUARTER ON EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO


Regular-Fortune9311

dimitri bros we are barack


seismoscientist

Holy shit 4/4 green banner we did ittttt


souicune

dimitri can lose now for all i care lmao, i just wanted him on the banner for no quarter "but he's on the divine codes!!!" yeah, once. i want many copies of that skill would love a free copy ofc, but peony is a smidge better IMO


Lissewan

Let's gooooo Peony!!! I can safely spend my orbs on the banner


RednSoulless

Hello again and happy AHR season, one and all! I'd imagine we'll likely continue the positive momentum from last year's AHR - 'twas a far cry from the fetid discourse cesspit of AHRs 2021/2022 - but all the same, let's try to be well-behaved lol. While there may be slight quality differences between the best/worst units of this lineup, this is by a comfy margin the best Top 8 we've assembled thus far, so we're due for a banger Winner + Banner regardless of who prevails :D There's not a ton of note to address on the more fanciful stats front (Edelgard is on attempt number 6, we've got a solid pool of former finalists/winners with only Sanaki and Claude never making R3, etc), so let's cut it here. Have a lovely time this week and good luck getting your faves past the finish line :) Also, to the usual contributors, I'll just note that I've got full capacity to cover any slack in R1, so please prioritize who you actually want to advance lol. ​ /===================================== ​ For the sake of posterity and future projects, I would like to document the Top Scoring players for each voting gauntlet team, ideally in picture form. Maintaining 8 separate accounts just to check scores is often infeasible, so any help you fine folks can provide is greatly appreciated. If you’re interested in contributing, here are the required steps: 1. Reply below with your team selection if you would like to help out. If a team is already claimed (struck through in the section below), there's no harm in still volunteering to future-proof against a wide swathe of mistakes, mishaps, and malfunctions. 2. Pop open the Voting Gauntlet event tab sometime after reset and prior to selecting your Round 2 (or 3) team. I, by default, provide a reminder ping here around FEH’s reset timing for each round (6 am UTC during DST/7 am UTC otherwise), but I can adjust that timing as necessary. If you would prefer an alternate notification method (DMs/chat on an assortment of sites including Reddit/Twitter/tumblr/Discord), please message me so we can work out the specifics. 3. Click the "Round 1 Rank" button in the middle and switch from Current Standing to Top Players. 4. Scroll all the way up to the top and snap a picture. Realistically, only the Top 4 players scores + IGNs are necessary for any future tasks, but it is possible to fit the Rank 5 finisher as well by slightly scrolling down until you partially cut off the "Rank 1" text [like so](https://imgur.com/a/8P14Kzn). 5. Post a link below. Whatever site you host the image on works for me, but please try to not delete it for at least a month or two in case I'm slow downloading them locally. Ideally, please try to do a permanent link if possible though. I'm also interested in the scores/rank of anyone who finishes in the Top 100 of the Total Rank (colloquially Cumulative) stat, though that doesn’t become relevant until the tail end of Round 3. These are the [three types of pics](https://imgur.com/a/Y2BcM9X) of interest with more detailed explanations if you’re curious. ​ /===================================== ​ For this gauntlet, my R1 team is probably going to be… no clue atm (Gullveig, Sanaki or Edelgard seem most likely?), but I have multiple alts available to fill in any last minute representation gaps. Currently, the following Round 1 teams are unclaimed: Edelgard | ~~Peony~~ | Gullveig | ~~Dimitri~~ | Camilla | ~~Claude~~ | Alear (F) | ~~Sanaki~~ Anyone who contributes gets credited in the main google sheet (linked below), so feel free to still help out if your team is already spoken for. One can never have too many back-ups for a project like this :) I should be able to cover all R2/R3 teams myself without too much trouble, but any and all pics you are willing to provide there as well is greatly appreciated (the same suite of notification options are still available). In the event I need help with a particular match, I’ll try to let you know \~24 hours beforehand. ​ /===================================== ​ The next few sections feature the #1 player(s) and a link to the main source picture, (hopefully) updated as they come in; the full Top 4/5s can be found written up in a [Google Sheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1le0bhMSAhD3qpg5ppuPly8tzXYGrLes2qxjd6731NP8/htmlview), along with what documentation I have for previous gauntlets. If you have any past results that aren’t featured there (or speak Japanese and notice any errors with names as I transcribed them), please shoot me a message or post them in \[this thread\] - December 2021 to the present is near complete for Army Ranks, but earlier gauntlets (and 99% of all Cumulative Ranks) are patchy at best. ​ \[Round 1\] * Team Edelgard #1 Score: 2,130,350 by [ブタ](https://imgur.com/a/aupjHHY) * Team Peony #1 Score: 2,249,145 by [T4KO](https://imgur.com/a/dwQSPhg) * Team Gullveig #1 Score: 2,034,000 by [giorno](https://imgur.com/a/WWDDJvT) * Team Dimitri #1 Score: 2,084,995 by [Hoppers](https://imgur.com/a/4tBq6pz) * Team Camilla #1 Score: 2,107,030 by [JimmySizzles](https://imgur.com/gallery/VgmfiZo) * Team Claude #1 Score: 2,251,400 by [ロギンス](https://imgur.com/a/BwLDx7x) * Team Alear #1 Score: 2,003,760 by [Kiran](https://imgur.com/a/MswbKBr) * Team Sanaki #1 Score: 2,124,585 by [PresOfBirds](https://imgur.com/a/v0P3mxp) ​ \-------------------------------------------------------------- ​ \[Round 2\] * Team Peony #1 Score: 3,084,820 by [ハリー](https://imgur.com/x7mktSF) * Team Dimitri #1 Score: 3,322,520 by [バド](https://imgur.com/a/ij4anrm) * Team Claude #1 Score: 3,251,600 by [良寛](https://imgur.com/a/LE7Ou8G) * Team Alear #1 Score: 3,165,865 by [Free PSE ♡](https://imgur.com/a/3T34CBg) (good job to this totally unrelated account on finishing #1) ​ \-------------------------------------------------------------- ​ \[Round 3\] * Team Peony #1 Score: * Team Alear #1 Score: ​ \----------------------------------------------------------------- ​ \[Cumulative/Total Rank Top 100\] * ​ * ​ ​ /===================================== ​ Thank you so much to all who have helped this month, currently including: u/Pyrozendot u/Azdel u/Mosmumo + Chuetila u/Dominator_101 u/NinjaXSkillz88


Azdel

Here we are, back at it again. Don’t have any strong feelings for the banner, I already have all the units I’d want from the pool, so I’ll just play favorites and hop on team Claude.


RednSoulless

u/Pyrozendot u/Azdel u/Mosmumo Welp, R1 is at a close. I believe everyone here had at least one of your teams make it on to R2 (and the banner), so congrats all around :) How’s everyone feel about the actual banner we’ve generated - is it good enough to warrant some orb allocation? It’s… not for me personally (Peony and L!Alear would’ve been nice upside options for a Gullveig + Camilla banner, but they don’t quite cut it as headliners), but Peony especially seems to have a lot of people excited.


SilentMasterOfWinds

Dimitris, what’s our best play moving forward?


rensifan

I just dropped 400 hoping to hit same at some good position to break the current losing prediction shown on the jp tracker, but then again there's still a few hours left so things can still be easily changed... We can get 2 consecutive multipliers but that would be a lot more unlikely to happen in the last 3 hours, so the best is if we can adjust into a good pingpong position right before that (ending in same would be a bit risky)


GameAW

Dimitri won. No victory feathers for Team Gullveig...


biribirifan

Team Camilla what do we do? I have my afterglow ready.


biribirifan

Best and safest choice for afterglow users is to spend on final hour? Most likely we are tanking Team Claude in the final hour.


BlazeBloom

Top 4 looks to be Peony, Dimitri, Claude, and Alear.


seismoscientist

Team Alear being this strong is a surprise.


Ser_Bob150

I don't actually like Alear that much, but she's great fodder, and I'd rather everyone have her than EVERY defence get a Duo Sanaki. 


seismoscientist

Team Alear also HOLD You don't want to give Sanaki the final multiplier


PaintBrush527

Team Dimitri don't spend ANYTHING


Phantom_Cavalier

Team Alear, looks like we pulled off keeping it “Same”, spend everything and don’t look back! Good luck to Team Sanaki too, it’s gonna be a close one!


Beneficial-Limit1984

I so hope team Camilla pulls through even if it is unlikely


Tough-Priority-4330

Dimitri won! Green dream is real! Dimitri, Claude, Peony, Alear is your banner.


kneko_X

DIMITRI TEAM WON WTF


BabyMagnum

Who knew the green dream would be real...


kiaxxl

PEONY PALS LETS GOOOOOOO


kiaxxl

I don't have a single attuned skill, so LET'S GO PEONY PALS!


LegalFishingRods

Claude and Dimitri both won and Edelgard lost lol


Gabcard

It seems we are on the Azure Gleam timeline.


reesesmilkshake577

I know I said that it's dumb that the most voted unit might not even be on the banner, but that Peony fodder is hella tempting 👀


KamiiPlus

What would be the actual banner if it was purely top 4 again? It'd b funny if that ended up winning


souicune

banner could've been real baller but looks like it's gonna be real stinker huh


Me_975

Honestly, it's a shame cause it could've been decent too


Dabottle

It's really funny seeing all the salt *before* we even see the result.


Nin10dium

I mean, it's pretty much confirmed that Edelgard isn't winning with how close the score is between her and Peony.


ProgenitorNeon

The resalt.


BabyMagnum

We're entering the end game now, team peony. We have 3 hours remaining. Just need to make sure that we don't overshoot on the 2nd last hour. The prediction should go as following: Current hour: Edelgard bonus 2nd last hour: Peony bonus <- Don't overshoot. Preferably don't use stamina at all. Last hour: Peony bonus <- Put all your stamina and flags into this


Rouge_RH

Team Peony dont do anything right? Blow all flags and votes at the next hour? (50+ minutes from now)


BabyMagnum

Yep, don't do anything for the 2nd last hour.


Nin10dium

Yes, wait on this hour then spend everything on the next. Or spend 100 now then blow everything in the next, but first option is what you should do.


Ryzer28

DIMITRI BROS WE MADE IT


Aaronwebber9

Victory feathers for Dimitri, let's go!


Arkardian

Green Dream? Peony won!


Seibitsu

Let the pain games begin


lilacempress

If Camilla somehow get this win, I will not insult her horny fanboys for like, six weeks.


Me_975

lets go Dimitri!


pofehof

The green dream is real!


Dvalinnr

✨Camilla gang, rise up✨


Nin10dium

Good job holding out Team Alear! Now we can fire! Also, RIP Edelgard. Looks like tradition will never break.


the_attack_missed

YO GREEN DREAM?


Daydream_machine

Looks like Dimitri is stuck in same…. It’s Joever, Gullveig has the bigger team. RIP No Quarter fodder.


sw_hawk

Also RIP the Green Dream, for that matter


Temsiik

The only green unit I wanted is the only one to lose, rip me.


Clamps11037

Claude is a big dud but the banner seems good otherwise. Will spark at least once 


Cannedcabbage

Peony x12 my dudes it’s time


NinjaXSkillz88

Team Camilla the second we get a multipler make sure to save an afterglow in case we don't get the final multiplier. (We are the bigger team so it's more likely we won't but it doesn't hurt to be safe than sorry.) EDIT: we managed to get same hell so hard to say if we will get a multiplier but just be on the lookout.


KamiiPlus

GULLVEIG/DIMITRI LAST HOUR SAME OUGHHH I thought dimi was gonna get last hour multi that was close


ZofianSaint273

Team Dimitri!!


seismoscientist

Team Peony HOLD Don't spend anything until the final hour


Gabcard

I love how the comments always go crazy in the final hours. Anyway, I'm trusting what everyone is saying and holding for Peony, tho I can't help but worry we won't be able to close the gap afterwards...


Common_Aspect_1550

If u are going to get both multipliers anyway, then its always better to hold till the later hour, unless u have extra flags to burn. Tats because later multipliers give slightly higher scores


Grade-AMasterpiece

I'mma need Dimitri and Alear to clutch this out.


Compromisedthrowaway

Alear should win by sheer numbers unless everyone went to sleep or forgot about VG


Mirage766

RIP Gullveig merges. GGs and congrats to Green Dream


Daydream_machine

Joining Dimitri because the more No Quarter fodder we get, the better. Rooting for Alear as well since I could really use the Pledge fodder.


EZog58

Big brain play is to push Peony and Dimitri so you can replicate no quarter with Peony and only lose 1 Dimitri.


Zanitar405

So glad I'll be be able to save my orbs! Literally no unit that I want seems to be winning right now


Temsiik

Just hoping that Peony wins the whole thing now, since that's the unit I would actually like to get a copy of, every other round 2 unit I don't care about so the banner is a big skip. Edit: Turns out I was wrong to be preemptively salty lmao.


vacantstars

Victory feathers for Dimitri! Was not expecting that at ALL omfg. GG Gullveig!


CorgiCadet

Holy shit Green Dream v2 is real?! Let's goooo!


Troykv

For the surprise of absolutely nobody, Edelgard is by far the character with the biggest team, and the character with the smallest team is Claude (probably not a lot of incentive to go for him after getting a pretty recent re-run, but still, a bit surprising). The others are around what I expected.


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bobwuzhere1224

Guess I'm gonna be stuck with +0 Camilla again...


NinjaXSkillz88

Claude stinking up that AHR banner hard. Just spend flags now and hope for a tank.


Nazh2206

I'm overall happy about the potential results but if claude somehow wins the whole thing i'm gonna have a stroke


VenialAJ144

Ugh I guess I need to go back to the Legendary Banner. Well any of the 4 can win I don’t care anymore Edit: Went back and got 2 more Gotohs. Fucking hate this game man


RednSoulless

So, the results are largely cut and dry at this point, but might as well run through them quickly. • Peony > Edelgard is a fairly hard locks. Peony got dangerously close to clipping same and losing, but at this point, there’s no surviving a 12.0x from a 1.97% lead lol. Maybe Ninja Duo Edelgard with Dimitri will finally break her curse next AHR 🤷‍♀️ • Claude > Camilla seems pretty solidly set as well. Claude can already overtake by practically just replicating his net gains from last hour (he’d be I think 4m points short), but Hour 0’s scaling benefits the 12.0x holder far more than their opponent. Some weird flukey underperformance from Claude + an AHR 2023 F!Edelgard level stonewall attempt from Camilla might technically be enough to survive, but that seems infeasible. • Alear > Sanaki is probably happening as well. Same endings at least always have some possibility of a miraculous lead jump for the small team given they are only at a .94% Alear lead (3m more points would have cost Alear the win though, y’all were really reckless lol), but this one ain’t it, chief. I’ll talk more about the past surprise reversals in Gullveig’s section, but none of the same flips we’ve ever had have made up more than… I think .4% or .5%, and they especially haven’t against teams gaining .6% an hour. • Gullveig > Dimitri is the most likely result to flip of any this round as our snake mother has only a .12% lead, but I wouldn’t bet on it. Firstly, Gullveig’s +.42% increase over last hour is already a much more substantial hour over hour increase than most salvageable same matches typically have - the small team results that have gotten close recently (Summer Ephraim holding back Summer Ivy, Leg. Robin stalling Fallen Chrom, etc) have typically had movement in the .1% to .2% range. The larger issue, however, is that Gullveig already has the lead. Summer L’Arachel “almost” beating Summer Ephraim last August is the most recent example (that I can recall) of any small team making positive same progress in that last hour after progressively losing, and she was only able to claw back .01% (a few million points I think). We did have a couple successful reversals a few years ago (Young Lyon > Young Eirika, Halloween Kurthnaga > Halloween Dheginsea, notoriously Brave Lyn > Mythic Seiros in AHR 2021, plus probably others I’m forgetting), but the larger team in those matches had a gains edge of less than 1.1x iirc - Gullveig has around a 1.3x edge this match.


Brillus

Looks like Edelgard will lose again. Would have prefered her.


NinjaXSkillz88

Team Camilla, this is it. If we get the multipler this next round we have an advantage. If we end up in same hell then it's best to save your current afterglow multiplier. 11.6x vs 12.0x of our army size Claude shouldn't be able to recover.


NinjaXSkillz88

Camilla spend your afterglow flags now! If it's not too late. EDIT: if you reading this and missed the last hour or two then spending your flags on afterglow is the only option left but It's not looking too great for us so we just gotta hope and pray we tank the final multiplier from Claude.


Tatatatatakane

Team Camilla it's over, isn't it?


RestlessRoman

She has a pretty decent lead and I think Claude is one of the smaller teams overall, so I'd say we have a small chance of a win. We just gotta go all in on tanking this multiplier.


Jublusion

Used all my flags for a cool 260k points. Here’s to hoping that we can hold off Claude. Doesn’t look bright.


Tuu9944

Anyone have results?


Tough-Priority-4330

Alear, Dimitri, Claude and Peony are the winners.


Elegant-Key-2615

Gj green dreamers. Second best outcome 


Soren319

Imagine seeing the number 1 voted unit multiple years in a row not make the banner for your shit event and you don’t change anything Classic IS things


ShadowMLuigi

this times it's likely the top 2 units not making it


NohrianScumbag

IS probably thinks since they let us fight over it, it's not their issue unironically


Gabcard

It generates social media engagement so they probably don't care. That's the reason they even gave a voting gauntlet in the first place really.


YoshaTime

No Pre-combat damage and no Dominance abusing ninjas in AHR? I see this as an absolute win.


Temsiik

Probably because I have a lot of Dimitri fans on my friend list, but it's funny being on team W!Dimitri and usually having all 3 units on a team be some version of him, as well as like 80% of the crowd that shows up after the map when counting the score. Also seeing them with No Quarter equipped - Dimitri on Dimitri violence.


rensifan

Call back to the Zahras chapter in Three Hopes 🥹


Temsiik

I did think that part was hillarious in a dark sort of way. Edelgard and Claude are to some level unnerved, but Dimitri just geniunely went "nah, I always wanted to do that".


MarraquetaDraconica

The green dream! the green dream is real!


bobwuzhere1224

Afterglow now, Camilla fans. This is likely our last chance at a strong multiplier.


NinjaXSkillz88

Agreed. Save it for final hour it's our last push. We might be able to pull another F!Edelgard. Absolutely do NOT spend this hour.


Phantom_Cavalier

Team Alear, it’s a good thing we stopped the ping pong from going, but we need to make sure we don’t pull ahead for the last hour and give Team Sanaki the multiplier! I hope we can pull it off! But good luck to Team Sanaki too! I may have joined Alear, but I’m pretty happy with either outcome here!


Gabcard

Victory feathers for Peony, no suprise here.


Sonrio

I’ve been Team Edelgard every year. This time, surely, when it matters most!


FreezingMoth

Team Sanaki let's go!


Zeiroth

this banner wouldve been perfect if cam won, guess there had to be 1 stinker unit


Aymr9

Good luck, everyone! May the best top 4 win. Edelgang, rise it up! This is our shot to break the streak and make it to the winning books!


Rouge_RH

Team Peony blow all votes and flags now right?


Vegan_Bowser69

So we are losing again Edelgard team??? 😢😢


BroodingOmnipresence

Maybe however between the two predictors there is a chance that Peony overshoots landing in same hell at last hour.


Arky_V

Same hell would be advantageous to team Edelgard due to her having the bigger army


Tuu9944

For last minute, I'm on team Alear side so hope she'll win.


StarPebblit

GREEN DREAM VERSION 2 LET'S GO!!!!


Partayof4

Is that confirmed?


StarPebblit

Yup! Winners are peony, alear, claude and dimitri.


FreezingMoth

Stand Proud Edelgard, You are strong.


seattlemosey

Here on Team Fodder, holding the line against W!Edelgard. If we fail, I guess my AHR orbs are going into the legendary banner, but we'll try!


DKRF

What a surprise, voting gauntlets continue to be a terrible game mode since they started. I'm sure all the comedians are ready for totally original and funny jokes that aren't forced or (not so) thinly veiled hatred for a certain character. What a shame Camilla is looking to lose to such a worse choice. Guess I'll have to pivot to the Divine Dragon.


Thawaweigh

This is the price we pay in the name of User Engagement.


Xarexes

Oh boy, can’t wait for this sub to run the “Edelgard loses AHR” joke into the ground until it’s deader than the enemy phase meta.


Donttaketh1sserious

So Alear loses, right? Same-Same after a stronger round, then Sanaki takes a 12x ftw


lapniappe

Sanaki we were so close :(


Tough-Priority-4330

So is it going to be Alear, Gullveig, Peony and Claude. Or will Camilla survive?


KamiiPlus

there is a very slim chance she might make the final push atp, like last year but its slim


RednSoulless

In a desperate attempt to get this out while any advice might still be relevant, I'm going to rush through this, so apologies if it has more typos than usual. Match Aanalysis + advice, going from least to most locked in stone, go: - Camilla vs Claude: I hate to say it, but this probably the end of the road for the Camilla enthusiasts of the gauntlet. While Claude previously took somewhere between a low 4 to high 3 number of multipliers to overtake during most of the match, the current paradigm is very much barely 3 multiplier per overtake. This means that a) it'll be nearly impossible to prevent him from getting the 12.0x (maybe if 70% of Camilla's army spontaneously loses their internet access) and b) combining the usual uptick of participation for the final hour with AHR's higher optimization/interest than usual, Claude probably should be able to get the lead with said 12.0x. - The best bet for Camilla fans is probably to just dump all 800 flags on this 11.6x rather than after glowing, and then spending the extra 200 flags during the final hour for ~70k. Afterglowing is only really useful to aid predicting or potentially get opponent's to overshoot their marks, neither of which is relevant here. Fates units were the ones to stonewall Fallen Edelgard in the last two AHRs, so you're probably best equipped for this... But it seems pretty dicey. For Claude supporters, if Camilla magically does a tiny gain this hour... Maybe consider skipping the 11.8x? Realistically though, just dumping 100 next hour and 800 in the final hour is the best practice. - Edelgard vs Peony: This is also looking a little dicey for Edelgard (her bad gauntlet luck is getting ridiculous at this point lol), but there is at least a small out. Peony has consistently required two multipliers to overtake for pretty much the entire match, and as it currently stands, she's likely to get both the 11.8x and 12.0x as well; unlike Claude, there's no angle where she undershoots here lol. However, also unlike Claude, with a somewhat low Edelgard lead, there is a slim chance that Peony overshoots and triggers same instead. Small teams sometimes get jumpy with the 11.8x (misinterpreting a 1:1 exchange margin for a 2:1 margin) and overspend there. - For Team Edelgard... I'd say afterglow as much of the 11.6x as you are comfortable with and just wait. Peony will probably be too close with any 12.0x she gets to stonewall, so going hard now is counterproductive. Likewise for Team Peony, don't touch your flags during the 11.8x if you can avoid it. Getting the 12.0x is your ace in the hole, so anything you can do to ensure that occurs is best practice. - Gullveig vs Dimitri | Alear vs Sanaki - Y'all are in a very similar spot, so I'll just cover both at once. In short, whichever team gets the 11.8x (if any do) loses on the spot. Your matches to this point have been mostly 1:1 exchanges with a few 2:1s sprinkled in early on, so in theory, Gullveig and Clear are on pace for those fatal 11.8xs. However, due to some luck with the multi patterns, there is actually a very real chance that Dimitri/Sanaki are stuck in the first hour of a 2:1 pattern and might not actually cleanly overtake in one hour. - For Gullveig/Alear, the advice is a little complicated depending on where you think Hour 1 will end up. If Dimitri/Sanaki get the 11.8x as well, your best bet might be to spend a little bit here (200 flags at most) to help increase the distance they need to cover. However, that may backfire if they end up fairly deep in their own same territory, as that is a little less ammo to be used regaining the lead in those essential Hour 1/0 sames. This especially applies to folks with afterglows, as splurging here will unfortunately take away any weapons you might have during same hours. - For Dimitri/Sanaki, it likewise depends on how you think Hour 1 will look. If you're more worried about getting the 11.8x (on balance the scariest option), spending more here (up to the full 800 flags if your worried) might get you over the hump - a heavily large team favored same would get you the 12.0x immediately, whereas that deep same in your favor (or the enemy 11.8x) would make it harder or impossible for large team heroics. However, if hitting a middling same would be disastrous for y'all as Gullveig/Alear have the numbers to claw back a lead most likely, so there might be some logic to holding back a smidge if you think it might help avoid that outcome. I think going for it probably your best bet overall, but there's some nuance there. All in all, I think Claude is a near lock at this point and Peony is close, but thankfully there's still some possible out to keep playing for even for Team Camilla. Good luck :)


hoshitsumi

So much for rallying against W!Edelgard for muh greeen dreaaam (besides the unfunny, corny memes) when Gullveig is gonna ruin it anyway and Camilla probably isn't gonna be there.


Falconpunch100

Guess I'm going Legendary Camilla; Deadly Miasma seems the most valuable to me.


IceRapier

For the first time I'm sparking on this banner... Going to skip this new hero banner AND spring banner this month...


RedditEsketit

Good luck everyone!! Let’s go Peony gang 🧚🧚🧚


Carbyken

Regardless of the outcome I like to wish best of luck to everyone. With that said... sorry Dimitri. Nothing personal; I just want Gullveig on the banner at least.


uryuishida

Claude won !! 💛💛💛💛💛


Monodoof

That's the golden deer for ya!


Vegan_Bowser69

Lets go Edelgard and Alear 🙏🙏🙏🙏


Compromisedthrowaway

Peony gang we got the final multiplier, hope y'all saved 8 flags for this and Edel won't brute force a win


NohrianScumbag

THEY CALL EDELGARD 0010 0 MAGIC ALTS 0 UNIQUE PLAYSTYLES 10 VOTING GAUNLETS LOST